![]() Java SE 7 Tutorial 2. Swing state - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia. Swing states in the 2. President Barack Obama won the nationwide popular vote by ~4 percentage points; this won him the bulk of the closely contested states, losing only North Carolina. Such states receive a large share of the attention and campaigning of political parties in presidential elections, since winning these states is the best opportunity for a party to gain electoral votes. Non- swing states are sometimes called safe states, because one candidate has strong enough support that they can safely assume that they will win the state's votes. Origin of swing states. Bush and John Kerry during the final four weeks of the 2. At left, each waving hand represents a visit from a presidential or vice- presidential candidate during the final four weeks. At right, each dollar sign represents one million dollars spent on TV advertising by the campaigns during the same time period. In U. S. Since in most states the legislature wants to increase the voting power of the majority, all states except Maine and Nebraska (explained below) use a winner- take- all system where the candidate who wins the most popular votes in a state wins all of that state's electoral votes. As a result, presidential candidates have reduced incentives to spend time or resources in states they are likely to win or lose by a sizable margin. ![]() ![]() Welcome to Dragon Swing: Lindy Underground! Dragon Swing is the largest Lindy Hop event in Krakow. 7th edition of the festival will take place November 16-20.Since a national campaign is interested in electoral votes, rather than the national popular vote, it tends to ignore states that it believes it will win easily; since it will win these without significant campaigning, any effort put into them is essentially wasted. A similar logic dictates that the campaign avoid putting any effort into states that it knows it will lose. ![]() For example, a Republican candidate can expect to easily win many of the Southern states like Texas, Mississippi, Alabama, and South Carolina. Similarly, the same candidate can expect to lose most of the traditionally liberal New England states, such as Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and Rhode Island. Regional exceptions exist; New Hampshire is a swing state in New England, and North Carolina and Florida are swing states in the American South. In Maine and Nebraska, the apportionment of electoral votes parallels that for Senators and Congressional Representatives. Two electoral votes go to the person who wins a plurality in the state, and a candidate gets one additional electoral vote for each Congressional District in which they receive a plurality. Both of these states have relatively few electoral votes (for the 2. Maine had 4 and Nebraska had 5; the minimum is 3) and are usually not considered swing states (Maine is generally considered a Democratic- leaning state while Nebraska is typically thought to be a Republican state). Despite their different rules, only once has either state split its electoral votes: Nebraska in 2. Republican John Mc. Cain and one to Democrat Barack Obama (who swept Maine). In the 2. 00. 4 elections, Colorado voted on Amendment 3. The initiative would have taken effect immediately, applying to the selection of electors in the same election. However, the initiative failed and Colorado remains under the winner- take- all system that is present in 4. Determining swing states. The article also cites movie director Leighton Woodhouse opining that there is a general consensus among most groups regarding a majority of the states typically thought of as swing states. Instead, states which vote similarly to the national vote proportions are more likely to appear as the closest states. For example, the states in the 1. Minnesota and Massachusetts. A campaign strategy centered on them, however, would not have been meaningful in the Electoral College, as Democratic nominee Walter Mondale required victories in many more states than Massachusetts, Republican Ronald Reagan still would have won by a large margin. The difference in Michigan was nineteen percentage points, quite similar to Reagan's national margin of eighteen percent. Swing Wespelaar announces the full line-up for the last festival day! On Sunday August 21st will appear: Sponsors. Latest on the 2012 Florida Elections from the CNN.com Politics team. Headlines and video, candidates' positions on the issues, fundraising totals, States to Watch. Swing States 2012 Game. The 25 Swing State markers are now placed on the. This game was given to Father Geek as a. Swing (2012) - Pierwszy kinowy film tw. Marek – fan internetowych for 2012 Swing-State Map, List & Polls. Updated 7/2/13 10:02 AM EDT; Polling data provided by RealClearPolitics; Select Viewing Mode Reset Data. Swing States 2012, from Wes Erni and R. Sanseverino - Swing 2012 sanseverinoVEVO. Subscribe Subscribed Unsubscribe 1,420 1K. Swing du Nul - Duration: 3:35. Similarly, Barack Obama's narrow victory in Indiana in the 2. Obama lost Indiana by more than ten percentage points in the closer 2. North Carolina, Arizona, Georgia, Missouri, and Montana. However, none of them were considered the tipping- point state, as Mitt Romney would not have been able to defeat Obama even if he had emerged victorious in all of them. Rather, Colorado was most in- step with the rest of the country. Coloradans voted for Obama by just over five percent, which was closer to Obama's national margin than those of any other contested state. Soon after the first contestants declared their candidacy, Politico listed Virginia, Colorado, Iowa, New Hampshire, Florida, Nevada, and Ohio as the seven states most likely to be contested in the general election. However, the article was released before Donald Trump announced his candidacy for the Republican presidential nomination. According to some analysts, the major campaign locations may be different than expected if the race turns out to be close. States such as Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and even Michigan may be in play with Trump as the nominee. In addition, local factors may come into play . Florida and New Hampshire were key to the 2. Ohio was the key to the 2. Ohio has gained a reputation as a swing state since the 1. Each square represents one electoral vote. The electoral college encourages political campaigners to focus on these swing states while ignoring the rest of the country. Populous states in which pre- election poll results show no clear favorite are inundated with campaign visits, saturation television advertising, get- out- the- vote efforts by party organizers and debates, while . In contrast, states with large populations such as California, Texas, and New York, have in recent elections been considered . Many small states are also considered to be . Proponents of a national popular vote for president dismiss such arguments, pointing out that candidates in popular vote elections for governor and U. S. Senate and for statewide allocation of electoral votes do not ignore voters in less populated areas. Sabato's Crystal Ball . Sabato's Crystal Ball . Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved November 8, 2. Electoral college defenders offer a range of arguments, from the openly anti- democratic (direct election equals mob rule), to the nostalgic (we! More vote- counting means more controversies! The Electoral College protects hurricane victims!). But none of those arguments overcome this one: One person, one vote. Why the Electoral College is Bad for America (Second ed.). New Haven and London: Yale University Press. ISBN 9. 78- 0- 3. Ron Paul, MD, December 2. Myths about Big Cities and Big States by National Popular Vote.
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